POLITICS-US: Massive Turnout Expected to Tip Vote for Obama

Global Geopolitics Net Sites – Global Intel Net / IPS
Tuesday, November 04, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

By Jim Lobe

John McCain (left) and Barack Obama (right) have together spent more than a billion dollars on their campaigns – about 8 dollars per vote.

WASHINGTON, Nov 3 (IPS) – On the eve of Tuesday’s elections, Sen. Barack Obama and his fellow Democratic candidates appear to be on the verge of a historic victory, according to political experts attached to both major parties and the latest polling.

The latest national polling shows Obama leads by between six and 12 percentage points, with an NBC/Wall Street Journal survey conducted Sunday giving him a 51-43 percent advantage.

While the race for the White House has tightened slightly in the last several days, Republican Sen. John McCain will have to win virtually all of the remaining half-dozen “swing states” — those which are still considered too close to call — plus carry several more states that are currently considered leaning strongly toward Obama in order to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat in the all-important Electoral College.
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VIETNAM: Prosperity Tough on Trash Collectors

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, November 03, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Helen Clark

HANOI, Nov 3 (IPS) – As the expendable income of households in Hanoi increases, so does the amount of refuse generated. This is taking a toll on the city’s predominantly female force of garbage collectors, as well as the environment.

A green truck idles on a street beside one of Hanoi’s largest beer halls, Hoa Vien, popular with the capital’s movers and shakers. In the twilight, women in khaki overalls and blue helmets push heavy trolleys, piled high with refuse, into a line behind it.

”I don’t get days off,” Tram, 33, tells IPS. ”Any celebration, I work more because there’s more garbage to collect. It’s always busy; I don’t even get Tet off.” Tet is Lunar New Year and the most important holiday in the Vietnamese calendar.

Tram has been collecting the city’s garbage for 14 years, and says things have become harder in recent years. There is far more to pick up, whilst wages have remained the same — between 1.5 million VND — 1.9 million VND (90 – 115 US dollars) each month.
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POLITICS-MOZAMBIQUE: Ready To Roll

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, November 03, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

John Keitta

CHIMOIO, Mozambique, Nov 3 (IPS) – The posters and flyers are ready, and so is Marta Simango. Ready for Nov. 4, when the municipal elections campaign officially kicks off in Mozambique.

Simango is running for a second term at the Municipal Assembly in the eastern province of Manica, bordering Zimbabwe. Her party is the opposition coalition Mozambican National Resistance Movement-Electoral Union (Renamo-UE, in Portuguese).

Renamo holds 15 of the 39 seats at the Municipal Assembly, and four belong to women. The ruling Front for the Liberation of Mozambique party (Frelimo) holds 24 seats, with 10 women (originally 12, but two died in office).

Overall, women account for 36 percent of Manica’s Municipal Assembly, beating the National Assembly, where 30 percent are women — one of the highest proportions in sub-Saharan Africa, where the average of women in Parliament is 16 percent.
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CHINA: Dam Casts Long Shadow Over Idyllic Valley

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, November 03, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Antoaneta Bezlova

LIJIANG, Nov 3 (IPS) – The town at Tiger Leaping Gorge is a ghost town. Clusters of new apartments in mock-Tibetan style with whitewashed walls and ornate flat roofs sit all empty, with gaping windows. The newly widened streets are free of traffic and the surrounding beauty of nature makes for an eerie contrast to the emptiness of the place.

Nestled in the folds of the snow-peaked mountains of Shangri-la and perched over the rushing waters of Jinsha River, the place is so picturesque that it is no surprise that it was picked as the perfect retirement spot for local government officials.

They too wanted to retreat from the world in the paradise on Earth that English writer James Hilton made famous in his 1933 fantasy novel ”Lost Horizon”.

”They (the officials) all bought properties here,” says Xiao Luo, a local tour guide from the Naxi minority. ”These buildings are all new and were all built for retired cadres. But no one dares yet to come and live here. If the dam gets built this whole area will be flooded.”
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AFGHANISTAN: ‘If Talks With Taliban Bring Peace, I’ll Support It’

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, November 03, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Anand Gopal

KABUL, Nov 3 (IPS) – Western officials are increasingly turning to new strategies in an effort to stabilise Afghanistan and defeat the insurgency here, according to U.S. and Afghan officials. The various initiatives — from negotiating with the Taliban to arming tribal militias — have differing degrees of support from Afghans.

Violence has reached record levels this year and Afghanistan is now considered a deadlier battlefield than Iraq. Insurgents are able to operate openly in areas close to the capital and the central government’s popularity is at the lowest point in its history. The situation is prompting a number of strategy reviews in Washington as the U.S. prepares for possible strategic shifts after the next president takes office.

Some officials are quietly considering a plan to arm tribal groups, in a move reminiscent to the American strategy in Iraq that is credited with decreasing violence there. ”We are seriously looking into using tribes and local communities to provide security,” says an American intelligence officer with the international forces.
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SRI LANKA: Media Groups to Challenge New Restrictions

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, November 03, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Feizal Samath

COLOMBO, Nov 3 (IPS) – Media groups in Sri Lanka, already restricted from covering the war against Tamil rebels in the north, are bracing to challenge new regulations that seek to control television broadcasting and new media.

The new rules, announced on Oct. 27, control content not only for broadcast but also MMS (Multimedia Messaging Service), a form of news dissemination that is rapidly gaining in popularity. Newspapers on the weekend also reported government plans to bring in similar rules for radio broadcasting.

”Censorship, there is no doubt about it,” warned Sunanda Deshapriya, spokesman for Sri Lanka’s Free Media Movement (FMM), the most vibrant of several associations representing journalists, publishers and private broadcasters.

Deshapriya told IPS that media groups and civil society organisations plan to challenge the regulations in the Supreme Court before Nov. 10, the deadline for objections before the regulations take effect.

”These are draconian and repressive rules never before enforced in Sri Lanka,” another journalist, who declined to be named, said. ”For any excuse they (authorities) can cancel the licence, and if a news item is seen to be unfavourable to the government.”

The new regulations provide the media minister, as the regulator, with powers to cancel licenses if content is ‘’detrimental to the interests of a national security; incites a break-down of public order; incites ethnic, religious or cultural hatred; is morally offensive or indecent; is detrimental to the rights and privileges of children”, among other restrictions.

In a statement, the FMM said the ‘Private Television Broadcasting Station Regulations’, seek to control new technology and bar foreigners from operating stations. Members of political parties may not seek licenses and the validity of all licenses are limited to one year.

The FMM said the new rules could be used for reasons other than reasonable regulation. ”In our view, these new regulations are misconceived in the way they allow governmental intrusion into freedom of expression, and media independence,” a representative said.

Opposition Leader Ranil Wickremasinghe alleged at a press briefing on Friday that the government was trying to tighten conditions for the issuance of broadcasting licenses, as it cannot control live, political talk shows and reportage of spot news. ”All these attempts are aimed at establishing control of the (Mahinda) Rajapaksa family company. In fact, the country is today under the control of a family which severely restricts all democratic rights. This gazette extraordinary has been issued as part of that attempt.”

Political analysts say President Mahinda Rajapaksa and his powerful brothers — Chamal (minister for ports and aviation), Basil (senior advisor to the President and parliamentarian) and Gotabaya (defence secretary) together with a handful of close associates, including army commander Gen. Sarath Fonseka, form a cabal that runs the country.

The government has defended the new regulations. Media minister, Anura Priyadharshana Yapa, said they were needed to bring about uniformity in the fast-growing electronic media broadcasting field. ”The same rules must apply to all television stations and these regulations were introduced for this purpose,” he said.

Under the earlier regulations, TV and radio stations were provided ‘temporary’ licenses’ with no operating period specified. Over the past few years, efforts have been underway to standardise regulations for both private and government TV and radio broadcasting.

The new regulations also seek to severely restrict news dissemination through the Internet — particularly citizen blogs, popular on news websites.

The government already controls information on the civil war in which the Sri Lankan army is fighting separatist Tamil rebels in the north of the island. In recent weeks, only state television has been reporting from the front.

Government forces are within striking distance of the key northern town of Kilinochchi, the last bastion of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), but have got bogged down by stiff resistance and heavy monsoon rains.

Since Rajapaksa was elected President in November 2005, at least 15 journalists have been killed, some allegedly by vigilante groups. Several others have been picked up by state agencies. The Tigers have also been accused of harassment and attempts to control or intimidate journalists in the areas they control.

In the latest World Press Freedom Index published by Reporters Without Borders, Sri Lanka has fallen to the lowest press freedom rating of any democratic country worldwide.

Another opposition politician, Mangala Samaraweera, a former powerful politician in Rajapaksa’s political party before the latter became president, said Rajapaka was acting ”like Adolf Hitler in a dictatorial rage.’ At least one TV channel has been asked to submit its news content to the government as a precursor to the enforcement of the regulations, IPS learns.

FMM’s Deshapriya says that the government should have appointed an independent authority as the regulator instead of the minister.

An international media team, which carried out a fact-finding mission (Oct.25 û 29) to Sri Lanka, has said it deplored the new regulations and any effort to impose prior restraint or direct censorship on the media.

The team, comprising representatives of the International Federation of Journalists, International Media Support, International News Safety Institute, International Press Institute and Reporters Without Borders, said it found a deterioration in the press freedom situation since its last visit in June 2007.

”In recent months journalists and media institutions seeking to report independently on the ongoing conflict have been attacked and intimidated in a seeming effort to limit public knowledge about the conduct of the war and to reveal their sources. This is a violation of the public right to know and the accepted norm that media sources should be protected,” it said.

POLITICS-US: Two, Three, Many Grand Bargains?

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Saturday, November 01, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Jim Lobe*

WASHINGTON, Nov 1 (IPS) – As the United States waded ever deeper into the Indochinese quagmire in the early 1960s, the Argentine revolutionary Che Guevara called for ”two, three, many Vietnams” to bog down the superpower in unwinnable Third World conflicts that would drain its treasury and overstretch its military.

While today’s wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are not quite as costly — at least as a percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP) — as then, Guevara’s vision, echoed nearly 40 years later by Osama bin Laden, of an increasingly stressed hyperpower which now confronts its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression must weigh heavily on whichever candidate moves into the White House Jan. 20.

Indeed, even as both Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama talk about the urgency of sending thousands more troops to Afghanistan to cope with the growing Taliban threat — potentially magnified manifold by the ongoing insurgency across the border in the tribal territories of nuclear-armed Pakistan — the transition set to begin next Tuesday next Tuesday will offer the president-elect a critical window to contemplate possible exit strategies not only in southwest Asia, but westward to the Mediterranean, as well.

A series of interlocking ”grand bargains” backed by the relevant regional players as well as major global powers — aimed at pacifying Afghanistan; integrating Iran into a new regional security structure; promoting reconciliation in Iraq; and launching a credible process to negotiate a comprehensive peace between Israel and the Arab world — must offer a very tempting, if extremely challenging, prospect to any new resident at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
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ECONOMY-MAURITIUS: Textile Manufacturing Goes Green and Clean

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Saturday, November 01, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Nasseem Ackbarally

PORT LOUIS, Nov 1 (IPS) – ‘‘The cost of production is high in Mauritius as we are far away from our main markets. Our island is so small that at times our clients do forget us. We no longer benefit from any trade preferences. We don’t have any natural resources but we have plenty of sunshine and wind and we have decided to use these resources.”

These are the thoughts that Kendall Tang, director of Richfield Tang Knits Ltd, a factory at La Tour Koenig south of the capital, shared with European buyers recently.

They visited his factory before attending the International Textile Manufacturers Federation’s (ITMF) conference on the theme of a greener and a more sustainable textile industry last month.

Richfield Tang Knits Ltd, or RT Knits as it is known, has devised a new strategy based on green production to reduce its costs of production and to improve its work environment. The company is betting on the availability of the sunshine and the stable direction of the wind 10 out of 12 months yearly.
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BIODIVERSITY: Unraveling the Mysteries of Salmon Migration

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Friday, October 31, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Stephen Leahy

UXBRIDGE, Canada, Oct 31 (IPS) – Tiny juvenile salmon have been electronically tracked for the first time from their natal rivers in the Rocky Mountains 2,500 kilometres north to Alaska.

”We’re turning the lights on in the oceans,” enthused Jim Bolger, a marine biologist at the Vancouver Aquarium.

”It’s very exciting, with this new technology scientists can finally see how changes in the oceans are affecting fish and other species,” Bolger told IPS.

The new technology is a series of electronic acoustic receivers planted along the ocean bottom stretching 1,750 kilometres from Oregon through British Columbia and north to the Alaskan panhandle. Fish and other species have transmitters implanted and the receivers pick up their individual signals as they pass.

The transmitters or tags are now as small as an almond and can be surgically implanted in juvenile salmon less than 14 centimetres in length. As they approach, the receivers log the tag’s unique serial number, the date and time. Movement patterns of individual animals, including direction and speed, can be reconstructed using the time of detection at different receivers and other listening curtains.

”Several mysteries of fish migration and survival may soon start to unravel,” said Bolger, the executive director of what is called the Pacific Ocean Shelf Tracking (POST) Project, a part of the international Census of Marine Life

One of those mysteries is where salmon go after they leave the rivers where they are born.

To try and answer that question, researchers implanted tags in 1,000 juvenile Chinook salmon in 2006 and followed their journeys in the Columbia and Fraser Rivers using the POST receivers. Among the many studied, two tagged juveniles survived a 2,500-km trip that took more than three months — from the upper reaches of the Snake River (a tributary of the Columbia River) in Idaho, out to sea then north along the continental shelf to Alaska according to a study published this week in the journal Public Library of Science Biology,

Most surprising of all, said Bolger, was that salmon from the undammed, free-flowing Fraser River in Canada suffered the same high levels of mortality as those battling their way through the eight dams of the Columbia River system. In fact, more survived in the Columbia once distance or travel time was taken into account — and survival was greater during migration within the hydropower system than below the dammed section.

”It raises the question of unknown factors in the Fraser system that may be having an impact on the juveniles,” said Bolger, one of the co-authors of the study.

Results of previous studies on white sturgeon also surprised researchers when they learned that the big, bottom-feeding fish migrated from the Sacramento River in California to the Fraser nearly 1,000 kms north in Canada.

”We thought the Fraser sturgeon were local and that it was okay to fish them,” Bolger said. In the U.S., they are carefully regulated but no one knew they migrated into Canada.

”Wherever future research leads on those questions, the electronic and acoustic technology has demonstrated itself as a useful tool for obtaining unique scientific data of importance in a number of public policy arenas,” said David Welch of Kintama Research, Nanaimo, British Columbia who led the salmon research effort.

Similar electronic listening curtains will have been strung together along the northeast coast by the end of this year. Two others being considered are between Florida and Cuba and another between Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba. The hope is to cover much of the world’s continental shelf one day, said Jesse Ausubel of Rockefeller University, who is a member of POST’s management board.

”We have a working technology, and it’s affordable. The hope is to have a monitoring system around the world,” Ausubel told IPS.

This type of tracking network can reveal the mysteries about where fish go and how many survive in the oceans, and can help fisheries management and conservation efforts. There are enormous controversies along the coastal zones of Africa and other places about which country ”owns” certain fish stocks, he said.

”Knowing where fish go is a key question that needs to be answered,” Ausubel said.

And knowing where species migrate, feed and breed is vital for conservation and management efforts. Within the next decade Ausubel hopes there will be an Ocean Tracking Network that covers continental shelves as well as the open ocean.

A different tracking device is needed for fish like sharks that traverse entire oceans. The open ocean tag is a like a business card — it not only identifies the specific fish, it records all sorts of data about where it has been and data from any other tagged fish that were nearby. That way when any of the fish are close enough to a floating receiver, all this information will be downloaded. For species that break the surface, the data will be transferred via satellite.

The first of these new tags will be implanted in salmon sharks near Hawaii in 2009. If all goes well, scientists will be able to determine their migration route to the Gulf of Alaska. And with salmon also tagged, there might be the first real-time study of the predator-prey interactions, Ausubel said.

”These results from North America have global implications and will be of interest in Chile, Russia, Japan, India, Ireland — indeed every nation where fish migrate between fresh and salt water,” concluded Victor Gallardo of Chile, the Census of Marine Life’s vice chair.

HAITI: Activists Urge World Bank to Erase Crippling Debt

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Friday, October 31, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Nergui Manalsuren

UNITED NATIONS, Oct 31 (IPS) – On a recent visit to the hurricane-ravaged island of Haiti, World Bank President Robert Zoellick declared that 500 million dollars of Haiti’s 1.7-billion-dollar foreign debt had been cancelled, and the rest would be soon be written off as well.

However, Haitian and international civil society groups say that his comments were misleading. None of the debt has actually been forgiven yet, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and bank just this month delayed Haiti’s entrance into the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries initiative (HIPC) — a condition for debt relief — by six months.

Dan Beeton, an analyst at the Washington-based Centre for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), said that he hopes that Haiti’s debt cancellation will be expedited, and that the World Bank and IMF, along with creditors France and the U.S., will cancel the debt without requiring Haiti to ”jump through more hoops”.

”However,” he said, ”the institution that has really power to make this happen is the U.S. Treasury Department.”
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