EDUCATION-US: Credit Crunch Hits College Students

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 23, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Matthew Cardinale

ATLANTA, Oct 23 (IPS) – The credit crunch is limiting college access for some students in the United States by making it more difficult for them or their parents to obtain student loans to finance the steep cost of a four-year education.

Sophomore Armando Huipe, 19, found himself with a 4,500-dollar bill to the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), after he and his father were both declined for private student loans to help pay for Huipe’s fall 2008 semester.

Huipe cannot register for more classes until the bill is paid off. He receives a grant from the State of California that pays most of his tuition. He also takes out a federal Stafford loan for about 5,000 dollars per year.

However, he is still short about 13,000 dollars per year toward paying the total cost of tuition, fees, room, board, books, travel, and incidentals, he told IPS.

Huipe does not qualify for a federal Pell Grant, aimed at low-income students, because his parents are middle-class and make about 90,000 dollars per year. ”I don’t know if they take into consideration a mortgage and a car payment,” Huipe said.

”I applied to Citibank, Wells Fargo, and Chase. Wells Fargo I applied on my own once, and applied with my father as a co-signer and they also denied me [then]. He has a mortgage out and a car loan out,” Huipe said.

In his freshman year, Huipe’s parents put some of his educational expenses on credit cards. ”That was what we were going to do this quarter but I just didn’t let my parents do it,” Huipe said, adding they have high interest rates.

Now, Huipe is thinking about dropping out of school and postponing his studies in biochemisty in order to work and save money, and maybe move back in with his parents. If he does this, however, his existing student loans will become immediately repayable.

Across the U.S., the economic downturn has affected loan access for students in at least two ways. First, it has led banks to suspend or discontinue offering private student loans, upon which many students and parents rely. Other banks have tightened their lending, raising the minimum credit score for which they will approve a loan.

Second, it has also prompted banks to pull out of the business of providing loans through the Federal Family Education Loan Programme (FFELP), even though those loans are backed by the federal government.

So far, 137 lenders have suspended or discontinued their participation in FFELP and 36 lenders have completely stopped offering private student loans, according to finaid.org, an informational website.

Sallie Mae, Citibank, and Bank of America had been the first, second, and third largest student loan originators in 2006 and 2007, respectively, but each has suspended making private loans.

The national top 100 student lenders, including the College Board, College Solutions Network, Frost National Bank, HSBC, PlainsCapital Bank, Sovereign Bank, and TCF Bank, have stopped offering FFELP loans. Access Group and NelNet have stopped offering private student loans.

Even though the FFELP loans are backed by the federal government, lenders are pulling out mainly because ”they have not been able to solve their liquidity problems. They just don’t have sources of money to lend,” Larry Zaglaniczny, vice president for governmental relations for the National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators, told IPS.

”The credit crunch is not having an effect in the availability of federal loans. There are problems; we’ve not heard of any access problems. On the other hand, with private loans, they’re more difficult to get. Fees have gone up. Interest rates have gone up,” Zaglaniczny said.

Members of the U.S. Congress were obviously concerned about the health of the FFELP programme when they authorised the Department of Education to purchase FFELP loans from private lenders in order to replenish the banks’ liquidity.

The Ensuring Continued Access to Student Loans Act of 2008 authorised these purchases through July 2009. In September 2008, Congress voted to extend the Act for another year; the extension was just signed by President Bush on Oct. 7.

”Continuing constraints in our capital markets have posed challenges for students and student lenders throughout the last year,” Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Education Secretary Margaret Spellings said in a joint press release.

”Our financing programme has supported just over 40 percent of the [FFELP] loans that have been disbursed this year. Over 800 lenders have enrolled in our loan purchase programme,” Paulson and Spellings said.

Meanwhile, Sens. Ted Kennedy, Charles Schumer and others have been encouraging schools across the nation to enroll in the Direct Loan Programme, where students essentially borrow directly from the U.S. Treasury.

However, for some families this academic year, all of this may be too little too late.

Many students and parents are often forced to take out private student loans, at least for part of the cost of education each year, for several reasons. These are the loans currently drying up.

The amount of private student loans has increased by over 750 percent, from 1.5 billion dollars annually 10 years ago, to 17 billion dollars today, while total student aid has increased only 61 percent during the same period, according to the College Board, a nonprofit association of colleges and universities.

With the cost of education rising every year, federal student loans and grants tend not to cover the entire cost of education.

In the 2007 academic year, average annual in-state tuition costs were 6,185 dollars for public universities and 23,712 dollars for private ones, according to the College Board. Room and board charges together average 7,404 and 8,595 dollars, respectively. This still does not include fees, books, supplies, travel, or incidentals.

One reason students turn to private loans is because there are annual limits, as well as lifetime limits, for the amount students can borrow under FFELP’s Stafford Loan programme.

While low-income students are also eligible for need-based grants such as the Pell Grants — which were also recently increased by the new Democratic-controlled Congress –middle-class families like Huipe’s tend to be ineligible for such grants or are awarded smaller amounts.

Earlier this month, Sen. Schumer wrote a letter to Chairman Ben Bernarke of the Federal Reserve System and Treasury Secretary Paulson, warning them of the situation.

”As you continue to respond to this debilitating credit crisis, I am urging you to keep a close eye on the student loan segment of the market,” Schumer wrote.

”Now more than ever, students and parents are concerned about their ability to pay for a college education. As banks continue to tighten lending criteria, increase borrowing costs, or simply restrict lending entirely, some students will inevitably be hurt,” he said.

POLITICS-US: Campaigns Spar Over Broken Health System

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 23, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Bankole Thompson

DETROIT, Michigan, Oct 23 (IPS) – For a man who said he watched his mother battle with insurance companies while dying of cancer in a hospital bed, and whose 85-year-old grandmother is said to be in serious condition, healthcare for all citizens has become a defining issue in the historic campaign of Democratic presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama.

Obama suspended his campaign for two days Thursday and Friday to attend to his sick grandmother, Madelyn Dunham, at his birthplace in Hawaii, after she reportedly fell and broke her hip.

At the second presidential debate, Obama said healthcare should be a right for all citizens — referring to the estimated 47 million people in this country without health insurance — while Republican presidential nominee John McCain said it’s more a responsibility for individuals and employers.
[Read more...]

OIL SANDS-PART 3: Biggest Customer Has Second Thoughts

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, October 20, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Chris Arsenault*

FT. MCMURRAY, Oct 20 (IPS) – As Canada’s tar sands extraction expands full steam ahead, a perfect storm of internal and external opposition could derail some of the voracious growth at the world’s largest energy project.

Together, skyrocketing construction costs, falling crude prices, increasingly vocal opposition from some native groups, and a little known section of the 2007 U.S. Energy Independence and Security Act all threaten growth projections in northern Alberta.

”If I was an investor, I wouldn’t want to take the risk of putting money into the tar sands right now,” said Liz Barratt-Brown, a senior attorney at the Natural Resources Defence Council, an NGO leading U.S. lobbying efforts against Canada’s heavy oil industry.

Canada is the largest foreign exporter of oil to the United States, with Alberta’s tar sands sending roughly 500,000 barrels to the U.S. every day. Losing access to the U.S. market would significantly affect expansion plans.
[Read more...]

OIL SANDS-PART 2: ”Where I Come From Is Ground Zero”

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Friday, October 17, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Chris Arsenault*

FT. MCMURRAY, Oct 17 (IPS) – The wheels of the Caterpillar 797B, the world’s largest truck, are always going round and round at Shell Canada’s Albian Sands mine.

The massive dump trucks, with wheels standing twice the size of a person and tires costing some 40,000 dollars apiece, carry tar sand 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

”There isn’t a lot of work in Newfoundland [a traditionally poor province on Canada's Atlantic coast], so you can do pretty well out here,” Brian Paley, a mechanic who fixes and inspects the three-storey trucks, told IPS.

Paley says he enjoys the work; he earns a six-figure salary and the rugged northern Alberta landscape allows him to snowmobile in the winter and camp during the summer.

However, some natives living downstream from the operation say the tar sands are destroying ecosystems that give people like Brian Paley so much pleasure.

”We’ve lost 108 people since 1990, the elders say they buried one person per year in the old days,” said Michael Mercredi, a member Athabasca Chipewyan/Dene First Nation from Fort Chipewayn, a community of some 1,200 aboriginals located downstream from the tar sands. Many community members died of rare cancers they blame on the tar sands.

Like many young people from Ft. Chipewayn, Mercredi knows the tar sands well; he spent four years making big money driving trucks at one of the mines. ”I just walked off the job one night, I thought ‘this is wrong, we’re destroying our own land’,” said Mercredi.

”Where I come from is ground zero,” Mercredi, who now works gathering traditional knowledge from elders in the community, told IPS

Dr. John O’Connor, Ft. Chipewayn’s former physician, catalogued a string of cases of cholangiocarcinoma, an uncommon cancer of the bile duct among members of the community. The disease normally strikes 1 in 100,000 and Dr. O’Connor reported six cases in Ft. Chip over a short period, in addition to other strange ailments. He sent results to the local toxicologist’s office. That’s when the pro-industry Alberta government stepped in.

In 2006, Alberta Health and Wellness filed a complaint with the College of Physicians and Surgeons of Alberta, alleging that Dr. O’Connor had engendered mistrust and raised undue alarm in Ft. Chipewayn. O’Connor left Alberta for Nova Scotia while the College of Physicians investigated the charges. He was cleared of wrongdoing in 2008 but decided not to return to Alberta.

”Dr. O’Connor was our martyr,” said Mercredi. ”He sacrificed part of his career to inform people about what was happening to us.”

While the Chief of Ft. Chipewayn has spoken out vigorously about the social and environmental impacts of rapid tar sands expansion, other First Nations, including the Ft. Mackay Band, have embraced the mega-project because they say it brings jobs, money and development to the region.

Mercredi and other critics the of development say fish from the Athabasca River, which supplies water to the tar sands, are exhibiting strange deformities and mutations. In August, a group of children pulled a fish with two mouths from Lake Athabasca, near an area where tar sands tailings water had leached into the soil.

”One of the companies admitted to our community that a tailings pond was leaking into a stream,” said Mercredi.

Elders from Ft. Chipewayn say the mutant fish is ”a sign of what will happen to human life,” according to testimony from a water conference held in the community in August.

Water is crucial for tar sands extraction: separating one barrel of oil from the sand requires at least three barrels of water.

According to peer-reviewed scientific articles written by Dr. David Schindler, Killam Memorial Chair and Professor of Ecology at the University of Alberta, the whole province and neighbouring regions will soon face ”a crisis in water quantity and quality with far-reaching implications.” Tar sands producers extract 2.5 million barrels of water per day from the Athabasca River.

Water becomes toxic during the oil extraction process and ends up in massive tailings ponds. In April, more than 400 ducks died after the flock landed on a tailings pond, owned by Syncrude, the largest tar sands consortium.

The largest tailings pond, controlled by Syncrude, contains 540 million cubic metres of poison waste water, making it the second largest dam on earth, according to the U.S. Department of the Interior.

”We are the most efficient user of water in the oil sands,” said Steve Gaudet, the environmental manager for Syncrude, a joint venture between Imperial Oil, ConocoPhillips, Petro Canada, Nexen and several smaller players.

During a tour of Syncrude’s main site, Gaudet told IPS that the consortium will eventually be able to ”reclaim” the tailings water, making it safe again, by mixing tailings with fresh water and gypsum, so the water becomes a solid.

”The industry has not demonstrated the ability to reclaim tailings ponds,” countered Simon Dyer from the Pembina Institute.

In March, the government of Alberta issued the first land reclamation certificate for a tar sands operator to Syncrude, for successfully reclaiming a 104-hectare parcel known as Gateway Hill. The company frequently showcases the area to visitors. A herd of bison graze nearby as Syncrude employees pass around boxed lunches to a delegation of journalists touring the area.

But, according to the Pembina Institute’s Simon Dyer, Gateway Hill ”isn’t representative of the challenge industry is facing” because the area is ”just topsoil that was stripped away” in previous decades. Over the long term, Dyer says the companies have to incorporate poison tailings into a dry landscape, and they have not proven their ability to do so.

While the gargantuan trucks trolling the land at Syncrude and Albian Sands can leave sceptical journalists in awe, they are not the most important tool for tar sands extraction. Roughly 20 percent of the oil here in northern Alberta can be extracted through surface mining; the rest requires underground techniques know as in-situ.

These underground techniques disturb less surface land, but critics say they are particularly energy intensive and wasteful. The energy equivalent of one barrel of oil is required to produce three barrels of oil from the tar sands, according to the Pembina Institute’s Dan Woynillowicz.

Cyclic steam stimulation, colloquially referred to as ”huff and puff”, is one popular in-situ method where oil companies blast steam into underground bitumen deposits through pipes for a month at a time. Once the bitumen is hot enough, other pipes will suck the oil back up to the surface.

Michael Mercredi says that First Nations are in a unique position to slow or stop tar sands development, but that doesn’t seem likely in Alberta’s current political climate. If anything will slow the world’s largest industrial project, and its voracious appetite for water and land, it will likely be factors far away from this province’s muskeg flatlands.

While most oil company officials are mum on exact figures, it is estimated that extracting one barrel of oil from the tar sands costs between 25-35 dollars. If the world economy hits a prolonged recession and the price of oil drops below 50 dollar a barrel, investors may look away from the tar sands.

Without a major recession, or political changes in United States, the largest consumer of tar sands crude, it seems likely that Caterpillar 797Bs will continue hauling oil 24/7, regardless of the environmental costs.

*This is the first of a three-part series investigating the political, environmental and social impacts of Canada’s oil sands development. Chris Arsenault holds the 2008/09 Phil Lind Fellowship at the University of British Columbia. A portion of his visit to Alberta was minded and financed by Shell Canada.

OIL SANDS-PART 1: Showdown at Ft. McMoney

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 16, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Chris Arsenault*

FT. MCMURRY, Canada, Oct 16 (IPS) – The sun rises in a bright, red line over flat land, small lakes, boreal forest and peat bogs as our small double engine plane bumps through early morning turbulence between Edmonton and Ft. McMurray, Canada.

With more than 173 billion barrels of oil recoverable with current technology and more than 100 billion dollars in committed capital investment, the Alberta tar sands around Ft. McMurray are considered the largest industrial project on earth. Unlike conventional crude, oil here isn’t pumped, it’s mined.

Current developments could yield 21 billion barrels of oil, according to the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. In 2007, the tar sands produced 1.2 million barrels of oil every day. By conservative estimates, this number will rise to 3.5 million barrels per day by 2020.
[Read more...]

LAOS: Unexploded Cluster Bombs Hold Up Farming

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Wednesday, October 15, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Marwaan Macan-Markar

VIENTIANE, Oct 15 (IPS) – As the country affected most by cluster munition in the world Laos is a natural leader in the global campaign to have the deadly ‘bomblets’ banned.

This month Laos will host a conference aimed at drumming up support from South-east Asian governments for the Cluster Munitions Convention (CMC) — which opens for signature in Oslo, early December. Currently Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand are among countries in the region that have stockpiles, while Singapore is among seven Asian countries that produce these weapons.

The groundbreaking international treaty crossed a milestone in May, when 107 governments agreed to adopt the text of the CMC at a conference in Dublin. It aims to prohibit the use, production, stockpiling and transfer of these munitions, resembling a tennis ball and stone-heavy.
[Read more...]

BURMA: New Constitution – Radical Change or Fig Leaf?

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Tuesday, October 14, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by John Feffer

WASHINGTON, Oct 14 (IPS) – After more than 15 years in the drafting, Burma unveiled its new constitution in February. The 194-page document has generated a widely disparate response.

In May, just days after Tropical Cyclone Nargis hit Burma and killed tens of thousands Burmese, the military government reported that 92 percent of the population supported the new constitution in a referendum vote.

The opposition National League for Democracy (NLD), however, has categorically rejected the new document. And outside observers generally treat the constitution — as well as the referendum results — with scepticism.
[Read more...]

POLITICS-US: Foreclosure Victims May Lose Votes as Well

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, October 13, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Bankole Thompson

DETROIT, Michigan, Oct 13 (IPS) – An alleged purge of registered voters, many of whom lost their homes to bank foreclosure, in the state of Michigan has prompted a lawsuit and calls in Congress for a Justice Department investigation.

At the centre of this possible election debacle in Michigan, where Democrat Sen. Barack Obama is leading his Republican opponent, Sen. John McCain, is Republican Secretary of State Terry Lynn Land, who has been criticised in the past by a federal judge for restricting access to ”provisional ballots” by voters uncertain about their voting precincts.

The American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) and the Advancement Project filed a suit in U.S. District Court in Detroit last month against Land, her director of elections Christopher Thomas, and Ypsilanti City Clerk Frances McMullen for using two programmes to remove voters from the rolls without proper federal procedure.

The first programme used by the state, according to the lawsuit, is the immediate cancellation of the drivers’ licenses of Michiganders who have obtained licenses in other states without the appropriate confirmation of registration notices.

Under the second removal programme, election clerks automatically eliminate names of voters from the files who may have moved from their registered addresses, instead of sending them a warning notice by forwarded mail.

”The National Voter Registration Act of 1993 states that, if a registrar receives information suggesting a voter has moved from their registration address, they should send them a confirmation of registration notice by forwarded mail, including a postage-prepaid return card, and ask them to confirm the address,” said Bradley Heard, the Advancement Project’s lead attorney, in the lawsuit.

”The registrar also can flag the voter’s record for confirmation if the voter appears to vote. If the voter does not either respond to that notice or appear to vote within two federal general elections from the date of the notice [the ones that occur in November of even-numbered years], the voter can be removed from the rolls.”

These removal programmes could have a devastating impact in minority and low-income areas hardest hit by the mortgage crisis like Wayne County, home to large African American and Hispanic communities — key voting blocs for Democrats.

The federal lawsuit is before Judge Stephen Murphy, the immediate past U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan. Murphy said he will review arguments from both sides before ruling whether to stop the two programmes.

IPS found that from January to September of this year, 17,691 homes have been foreclosed in Wayne County, the state’s largest county which led the nation in 2007 in foreclosures for large metropolitan areas.

Recently, Macomb County, a swing county home to many conservative-leaning so-called Reagan Democrats, was in the news for the reported statements of its Republican Party chairman James Carabelli that the party is planning to use a list of foreclosed homes to prevent people from voting in the November presidential election.

”We will have a list of foreclosed homes and will make sure people aren’t voting from those addresses,” Carabelli reportedly told the Michigan Messenger in a phone interview. He would later deny the comments.

In 2004, John Pappageorge, a Republican state senator from Oakland County, a Republican stronghold — where polls now show Obama beating McCain among independents (48 percent to 25 percent) and women (55 percent to 37percent) — called for suppression of the Detroit vote to win the election.

”We are deeply troubled by recent media reports that the chairman of the Michigan Republican Party in Macomb County is planning to use a list of foreclosed homes as a basis to challenge voters and block them from participating in the election,” House Judiciary Committee chairman John Conyers wrote to U.S. Attorney General Michael Mukasey.

”We are writing to request that the Department of Justice launch a full scale investigation into the matter. Given the number of voting rights complaints filed after the 2004 election it is critical that the Department take proactive steps now to prevent voting rights violations in November,” Conyers wrote.

The letter added, ”The plan should be investigated as a possible violation of the Voting Rights Act.”

The Justice Department will meet with Conyers this week to address concerns about voters being challenged on their foreclosure status.

The Centre for Responsible Lending said Michigan, California, Washington D.C., New Jersey, and Nevada have high mortgage defaults. The report estimated that 10 percent of African American borrowers and 8 percent of Hispanic borrowers will be affected by foreclosures compared to 4 percent of white borrowers.

It is not clear how many voters have been purged.

But Thomas, the state election director, said about 70,000 people are removed on an annual basis because of the change in their driver’s license, and that about 1,400 people have been removed since the start of this year because of their returned ID card.

”We think the actual numbers will be higher, but that will be the subject of the discovery in the case,” Heard said.

The New York Times reported that based on its own findings Michigan removed 33,000 people from the voter roll.

Thomas denied the report and said overall only 11,000 were removed because of death or authorised change notifications.

The Times ranked Michigan among five other swing states — Colorado, Indiana, Ohio, Nevada and North Carolina — that unintentionally purged voters.

Detroit City Clerk Janice Winfrey, who has registered 28,000 new voters, told IPS that 1,567 records have been purged from the Detroit voter file because they are considered ”inactive”, meaning the person is deceased or notified election officials they’ve moved out of state.

To date, Winfrey said Detroit has 634,444 registered voters for Nov. 4. and only 90,000 of that figure voted in the primary election.

”We need to make sure every vote counts and that people are registered to vote,” said Mildred Madison of the League of Women Voters in Detroit.

POLITICS-THAILAND: ‘Class Struggle’ in Political Battle

Global Geopolitics – Global News Blog – Global Analyst Online – IPS
October 12, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Johanna Son

BANGKOK, Oct 12 (IPS) – Beyond the sound and fury at the rallies and violence at recent protests here in Thai capital, a larger, more painful struggle over how to resolve deep divisions in electoral democracy continues — and may well reshape politics in this South-east Asian country.

For some five months now, Thais have been following the protests staged by the anti-government, conservative group called People’s Alliance for Democracy (PAD) to try to unseat the government led by Prime Minister Somchai Wongsawat.

Like his predecessor Samak Sundaravej who had to step down last month, Somchai is from the People Power Party (PPP), the successor to ousted prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra’s Thai Rak Thai (TRT) party and one that won the first democratic polls held after a 2006 military coup.
[Read more...]

LEBANON: In an Uneasy Togetherness with Syria

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
October 8, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Mona Alami

BEIRUT, Oct 8 (IPS) – Small countries right next to one another, Syria and Lebanon seem light years apart. The two countries have shared a rocky relationship for decades, characterised mainly by Syrian dominance. Once again this relationship appears to be put to test as reports of Syrian deployment on Lebanon’s borders abound.

Both were together under French mandate for more than 20 years, and achieved independence in 1943. Since then, Syria has considered its neighbour an artificial creation — an accident of history born of the whims of colonial countries.

Syrian troops entered Lebanon as peacekeepers in 1976, in the midst of the 15-year civil war. They stayed on after the war ended in 1990, with the signing of the Taef Agreement which divided power equally between Muslims and Christians. Syria ended up in effect occupying the country for some 30 years until 2005. They had to leave after former Lebanese prime minister Rafik Hariri was assassinated in a powerful bomb blast on Feb. 14 that year, that was widely blamed on the Damascus regime.

In recent months, much changed in the strained relationship between the two countries, at least on the surface. A landmark summit between President Michel Suleiman and his Syrian counterpart Bashar al-Assad in Damascus Aug. 14 concluded with an agreement to establish diplomatic relations. For the first time in Lebanon’s history, a Lebanese president was officially received by a Syrian president on the Damascus airport tarmac. Previously, Lebanon’s heads of state had to drive to the Syrian capital and await reception in the corridors of the presidential Syrian palaces. The summit was followed by a decision to establish an embassy in Damascus.

But these changes have not ended Syria’s influence in Lebanon, they only heralded a change in appearances. Damascus still pulls its weight around the Land of the Cedars. Following a week-long civil conflict in May, an agreement was reached in Doha on May 21 only after the Syrian Socialist National Party (SSNP) and the Shia Hezbollah and Amal acquired veto power in a unity cabinet. An agreement was also reached over the presidency, which had been vacant for six months, with the election of Suleiman, a consensus figure approved by Syria.

Syrian sway in Lebanon was also seen in a surprising statement by Suleiman that ”the international community must open up to Syria, following the example set by France, as it plays a fundamental role at the regional level.” The announcement was made following a meeting with U.S. officials in Baabda, the presidential palace.

Matters of crucial importance remained hanging in the air, with the Syrian-Lebanese Higher Council playing an integral role in solving the issues. ”The Syrian Lebanese Higher Council Council is at the centre of the architectural agreements linking Syria to Lebanon, dubbed the Fraternity, Cooperation and Coordination treaty. The council plays a diplomatic role, which is in contradiction to the establishment of diplomatic ties,” said lawyer and constitutionalist Majed Fayad.

The Syrian Lebanese Higher Council, which is comprised of the Syrian and Lebanese presidents, prime ministers and speakers of the house, breaches the principle of separation of power. In addition, the Fraternity, Cooperation and Coordination treaty between the two countries ties Lebanon’s fate to Syria’s, especially in matters of security, defence and foreign policy.

Other vital matters that need to be addressed by both countries include weapons supply to Hezbollah from Syria, the demarcation of Syrian borders with Lebanon, and the return of Lebanese detainees in Syrian prisons, thought by some to correspond to 600 missing persons.

Oussam Safa, managing director of the Lebanese Centre for Political Studies, interpreted Suleiman’s visit to Syria as a partial success. ”It was Fawzi Salloukh (Lebanon’s foreign minister) who dampened the excitement related to the detainee issue by admitting to only 100 or so Lebanese prisoners in Syrian jails. There is a lack of seriousness from the political establishment in opening the detainees file.”

In a country where political assassinations and ethnic cleansing prevailed during 15 years of civil war, the detainee file is viewed by many as a Pandora’s box, especially if Syria chooses to retaliate by unveiling embarrassing truths such as the details of massacres committed by the Lebanese leadership during the war, or the location of mass graves.

”The drawing of the border between the two countries, especially in the area of the Shebaa farm, is unlikely to occur as long as Israel occupies the Golan Heights,” said Safa. The ownership of the Shebaa farm, a land currently occupied by Israel, has long been disputed. Syria has made clear numerous times that it links the matter of the occupation of the Golan to drawing its borders with Lebanon in the disputed area.

More pressing concerns will have to be addressed, however, by the Lebanese government as tensions mount between Lebanon and its Syrian neighbour. On Sep. 22, Syrian troops were reported to have deployed about 10,000 special forces in the northern region along the border between Lebanon and Syria, according to AFP. This military presence has been further beefed up, according to pan-Arab daily al-Hayat, quoting eyewitnesses saying that Syria had deployed tanks along the border facing the northern Bekaa town of al-Qaa. They added that the deployment was dovetailed with the digging of trenches and setting up of encampments.

The relative quiet that had characterised Syrian-Lebanese relations in recent months has certainly taken an unexpected turn, as belligerence appears, once again, on the rise.