DRC: The Cost of War

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS

Stephanie Kale

KIGALI, Nov 8 (IPS) – War is expensive. The costs include not only the millions of dollars spent on military equipment and maintaining an army, but the financial and psychological toll it takes on the everyday lives of people caught in the crossfire.

When fighting takes place where civilians live, as it is in the eastern region of the Democratic Republic of Congo, farming, housing, health care, businesses and education are all interrupted in armed conflict, and the long-term effects in the North Kivu region have been devastating.

Ten year-old Immacule arrived at Kibati refugee camp 12 kilometres north of Goma on Oct. 27 after her family fled their village fearing attacks by Tutsi-led rebels.

She said she misses going to school. ”I want the government to find peace for us so that I can return home and go back to school.”

Since fighting resumed in August between the rebel National Congress for the Defense of the People (CNDP) and the Congolese army, 250,000 people have been displaced in the North Kivu Region.
[Read more...]

POLITICS-US: Can Naturalised Citizens Tip the Balance?

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Tuesday, November 04, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

By Nuzhat Naoreen

The Korean-American civic group YKASEC says it has registered more than 26,000 people to vote since 2004.

NEW YORK, Nov 3 (IPS) – Juan Carlos Jimenez had already lived legally in the United States for nearly 40 years when he became a citizen in October, at 44. He joined hundreds of other immigrants at a New York courthouse to take his oath.

“It’s the only reason I became a citizen — to vote in this election,” said Jimenez, who was born in Colombia.

The Iraq war and the foundering economy made him want to vote for the first time.

“There’s just too much at stake now,” he said.

Issues like the war, the economy, and failed immigration reform are expected to drive many first-time immigrant voters like Jimenez to the polls this year, in greater numbers than before.
[Read more...]

AFGHANISTAN: ‘If Talks With Taliban Bring Peace, I’ll Support It’

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, November 03, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Anand Gopal

KABUL, Nov 3 (IPS) – Western officials are increasingly turning to new strategies in an effort to stabilise Afghanistan and defeat the insurgency here, according to U.S. and Afghan officials. The various initiatives — from negotiating with the Taliban to arming tribal militias — have differing degrees of support from Afghans.

Violence has reached record levels this year and Afghanistan is now considered a deadlier battlefield than Iraq. Insurgents are able to operate openly in areas close to the capital and the central government’s popularity is at the lowest point in its history. The situation is prompting a number of strategy reviews in Washington as the U.S. prepares for possible strategic shifts after the next president takes office.

Some officials are quietly considering a plan to arm tribal groups, in a move reminiscent to the American strategy in Iraq that is credited with decreasing violence there. ”We are seriously looking into using tribes and local communities to provide security,” says an American intelligence officer with the international forces.
[Read more...]

THE INDIAN JIHADI NET

INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM MONITOR—PAPER NO. 465

Global News Blog – Global Geopolitics Net
Monday, November 03, 2008

Copyright © B. Raman – South Asia Analysis Group
www.southasiaanalysis.org

B.RAMAN

The number of fatalities in the serial explosions in Assam on the forenoon of October 30,2008, has since gone up to 75, with the death of some of the injured in the hospitals. Another about 300 persons are undergoing treatment in the hospitals and some of them are stated to be in a serious condition.

2. According to the Police, there was a total of nine blasts timed to take place in four different cities or towns in the State between 11 and 11-30 AM.The most devastating in terms of casualties (35 killed), property damage and psychological effect on the people were the three in Guwahati, the Capital. In all these three cases, the improvised explosive device (IED) was kept in the boot of cars. The use of the boot of a car for keeping the explosives enabled the perpetrators to keep more explosive material than one could in a bicycle or in a tiffin box. In the Ahmedabad blasts of July,26,2008, the explosive device was kept in a car in the incident near a local hospital. Motor-vehicle- borne IEDs also cause more casualties due to the splinter effect and large fires, which have a traumatic effect on the local population. Many who rang me up after the Guwahati explosions remarked that the scene with cars burning reminded them of what they had been seeing on the TV about similar incidents in Baghdad. This kind of trauma one did not witness during the earlier serial explosions in three towns of Uttar Pradesh in November last year, in Jaipur in May,2008, in Bangalore and Ahmedabad in July, in New Delhi in September and in Agartala in October. The three cars had been kept parked with the IED near a vegetable and fruit market at Ganeshguri below a fly-over, in front of the office of the Kamrup Deputy Commissioner, and near a police station in the Fancy Bazaar. The Ganeshguri area is near the high security complex of the capital.
[Read more...]

PERU: Free Trade Opens Environmental Window

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Saturday, November 01, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Milagros Salazar* – Tierramérica

LIMA, Nov 1 (IPS) – Legislative decree 1090, which modifies Peru’s forest policy, is worrying U.S. trade authorities because it contravenes environmental clauses of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) that is to enter force between the two countries in January 2009.

The decree, which in June amended the Forestry and Wildlife Act, leaves 45 million hectares — or 60 percent of Peru’s jungles — out of the Forestry Heritage protection system — a step that runs counter to the FTA forestry annex.

That was one of the 10 observations made by the Office of the U.S Trade Representative, Susan Schwab, in a meeting with delegates of the Peruvian government earlier this month in Washington, according to Sandro Chávez, president of the non-governmental Ecological Forum (Foro Ecológico).
[Read more...]

FINANCE: NGOs Call for Radical Reforms as IMF Offers New Loans

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Jim Lobe

WASHINGTON, Oct 29 (IPS) – Two weeks before U.S. President George W. Bush hosts an economic summit to address the six-week-old financial crisis that has wreaked havoc on the world’s capital and stock markets, a coalition of nearly 600 non-governmental organisations (NGOs) from 88 countries is calling for a ”fundamental and far-reaching transformation on the international financial and economic system.”

In a statement released Wednesday, the groups demanded that the upcoming Group of 20 meeting Nov. 15 here to the way for a much broader and more inclusive reform effort in which all of the world’s governments and international civil society should participate.

”It is of course imperative to agree on immediate measures to address the crisis, and we emphasise that priority must be given to responses to the impacts on ordinary employees and workers, low-income households, pensioners and other extremely vulnerable sectors,” according to the statement that was signed by Friends of the Earth, ActionAid, and Social Watch, among other international groups.

”But we are deeply concerned that the proposed meetings will be carried out in a rushed and non-inclusive manner, and, as a result, not address the comprehensive range of changes needed, nor fairly allocate their burden,” it said.

The groups, which also included Civicus, the European Network on Debt and Development (EURODAD), and Jubilee, decried what they called a ”double standard” by which wealthy western governments, in dealing with the crisis, were currently engaged in the kind of government intervention that western-dominated institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had forbidden their poor-country borrowers.

”The double standard is not only unacceptable, but it also signals the demise of free-market fundamentalism,” the statement said. ”The international financial system, its architecture and its institutions must be completely rethought.”

The statement comes on the eve of the first meeting of a U.N. task force set up by Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon and chaired by Economics Nobel Laureate and former World Bank Chief Economist Joseph Stiglitz to make recommendations about how to cope with the ongoing crisis.

It also comes as the IMF announced the creation of the a new lending arm, the Short-Term Liquidity Facility (SLF), that will have the authority to lend up to five times a borrowing country’s quota to help it overcome temporary liquidity problems in global capital markets.

”Exceptional times call for an exceptional response,” said the IMF’s managing director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn. ”The Fund is responding quickly and flexibly to requests for financing. We are offering some countries substantial resources on an expedited basis, with conditions based only on measures absolutely necessary to get past the crisis and to restore a viable external position.”

Creation of the SLF, which is similar to the Contingent Credit Line facility created by the IMF during the Asian crisis of 1997-98, has been considered urgent over the last couple of weeks as it became clear that the credit crisis that began with the collapse of Lehman Brothers investment firm last month was rapidly spreading to emerging markets and poor countries whose economies are dependent on commodity exports.

Still, critics have warned that, given the growing line of countries, starting with Iceland, Ukraine, and Hungary and Pakistan, in desperate need of the estimated 250 billion dollars the IMF has available, the SLF may not be sufficient to keep up with demand.

Thus, Strauss-Kahn made a point of welcoming Wednesday’s announcement by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the central banks of Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, and Singapore to set up swap lines of up to 30 billion dollars to boost liquidity in emerging markets. Similar lines have already been set up between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank and with the central banks of the Australia and New Zealand.

The Nov. 15 G-20 summit at the National Building Museum will include the leaders of the major industrialised countries and emerging markets, such as China, India, Brazil, and Mexico. It has been billed by some European leaders, notably British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, as a ”new Bretton Woods”, a reference to the New Hampshire resort where in 1944 U.S. and British finance officials laid the groundwork for the post-World War II western-dominated economic order overseen by the IMF and the World Bank.

Bush, who will be a lame duck when the summit convenes, is expected to oppose any moves that could result in big changes in the way those two agencies are run, particularly given the disproportionate voting power Washington — including the ability to veto any major policy changes — enjoys on their governing boards. The Europeans, who also exercise disproportionate power on the boards, appear to be more favourably inclined toward reform.

”There is no doubt that these institutions need reform when Belgium has the same amount of votes as China,” noted Louis Belanger of Oxfam International.

It has been through the combined voting power of the U.S. and other western industrialised powers that the Bank and the IMF have imposed the so-called ”Washington Consensus” — policies that require borrowing countries to implement neo-liberal, ”market-friendly” policies and reduce the role of government in their economies — over the last 30 years.

Grassroots and many international NGOs have long claimed that these policies have mainly benefited western-based multi-national corporations, often to the detriment of the poorest and most vulnerable populations in borrowing countries whose governments were forced to cut their budgets and adopt austerity measures recommended by the Bank and the IMF.

To them, the response to current crisis in both North America and Europe demonstrates the bankruptcy of both the ”Washington Consensus” and the agencies that enforced it.

”To stave off regional and global recessions and restore stability and confidence in the market, northern governments are pursuing a massive and unprecedented program of government intervention, nationalising banks, injecting massive subsidies into ailing institutions and re-regulating their financial sectors,” they said.

These measures stand ”in direct contrast to the austere neo-liberal policies pressed on developing countries by the World Bank, the IMF, and developed countries for the past thirty years.”

”These policies have failed spectacularly,” said Vitalis Meja, coordinator for the African Forum & Network on Debt and Development (Afrodad). ”And now, the response is to bring 20 governments to Washington for a new ‘Washington Consensus’.”

Writing in the Financial Times Wednesday, financier and philanthropist George Soros noted that, ”The so-called Washington consensus imposed strict market discipline on other countries but the U.S. was exempt from it.”

In the NGOs’ view, any attempted reform of the current system should best be pursued under auspices of the United Nations where each country has a vote.

”Since the impacts are likely to be the greatest on the poorest people, and in emerging economies and developing countries,” noted Lidy Nacpil of Jubilee South — Asia/Pacific Movement on Debt and Development, ”shouldn’t all countries — governments and peoples — have a say, not just those responsible for this crisis?”

”Any attempt by the most powerful countries to stitch up a deal with no public consultation and no involvement of the majority of the world’s countries through an inclusive process will only further undermine public trust and confidence,” added Roberto Bissio of Social Watch.

POLITICS: U.S. Cutoff Threat Unlikely to Save Iraq Troop Pact

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Gareth Porter*

WASHINGTON, Oct 29 (IPS) – The threat by the George W. Bush administration last week to withdraw all economic and military support from the Iraqi government if it does not accept the U.S.-Iraq status of forces agreement has raised the stakes in the political-diplomatic struggle over the issue.

However, most Iraqi politicians are now so averse to any formal legitimisation of the U.S. military presence — and particularly of extraterritorial legal rights over U.S. troops in the country — that even that threat is unlikely to save the pact.

For most Iraqis the agreement is all too reminiscent of the unequal security agreement that gave military rights to British imperialism in Iraq from 1930 to 1958. The symbolism of foreign domination inherent in that historical parallel makes it risky for political party leaders and members of parliament to be seen as going along with any agreement that provides special privileges to the United States.

In a move reflecting a new sense of desperation that has overtaken U.S. officials, Gen. Ray Odierno, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, warned Iraqi officials that they would lose a total of 16 billion dollars in assistance for the economy and Iraqi security forces unless the agreement is approved by parliament, according to a story by McClatchy newspapers reporter Leil Fadel Sunday.
[Read more...]

POLITICS: Thai Tensions Form Apt Backdrop for ASEAN Meet

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Tuesday, October 28, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Marwaan Macan-Markar

BANGKOK, Oct 28 (IPS) – The decision by Thai government to shift the venue of a regional summit from Bangkok to the northern city of Chiang Mai points to an administration unsure of its place in the country’s capital.

Prime Minster Somchai Wongsawat announced the move during a weekend visit to the country’s second largest city, which nestles in the hilly region close to the Burmese border. The Association of South-east Asian Nations (ASEAN) leaders’ meeting will run there from Dec. 15-18.

‘’The main reason for the change was the government’s worry that the continuing protests led by the People’s Alliance for Democracy (PAD) could cause trouble for the event,” the ‘Bangkok Post’ reported on Monday, quoting an unnamed foreign ministry source.

It is a decision that is winning little praise from some former diplomats, given what a change of venue implies. ‘’This is the government’s admission of its weaknesses and that it is not in control,” Kasit Piromya, a former Thai ambassador to the United States, told IPS. ‘’It is the government that runs the country, yet we see that they are not in charge.”
[Read more...]

ECONOMY: Spain Fights Exclusion from Crisis Summit

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, October 27, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

José Antonio Gurriarán

MADRID, Oct 27 (IPS) – The Spanish government is taking strong diplomatic actions, calling on its fellow members of the European Union, Latin American leaders, Asian nations and even the United States presidential candidates, with the aim of not being left out of the financial anti-crisis summit scheduled for Nov. 15 in Washington.

Spain was not included in U.S. President George W. Bush’s invitation to the governments of the world’s leading economies and the larger emerging countries from the developing South — a decision seen by Spain as a veto against the socialist government of José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero.

Although no one in the White House admits or has even implied it, the Zapatero administration as well as the rightwing opposition and the vast majority of Spain’s citizens are convinced that this is Bush’s way of retaliating against Zapatero’s decision to withdraw the country’s troops from the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq, as soon as the socialist prime minister took office in 2004.
[Read more...]

U.S.: A Week Out, Obama and Democrats Poised for Victory

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Monday, October 27, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Jim Lobe*

WASHINGTON, Oct 27 (IPS) – With only one week before the Nov. 4 elections, Democrats are increasingly hopeful that they will emerge next Wednesday with control of the White House and substantially increased majorities in both houses of Congress.

Their presidential candidate, Sen. Barack Obama, has sustained a solid lead ranging of between five and 12 percentage points over Republican Sen. John McCain among nationwide public opinion polls for most of the past two weeks.

He also enjoys statistically significant leads in key ”battleground” states — so-called swing states that were regarded as toss-ups as recently as one month ago, such as Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, Florida and Nevada. These states were won by Pres. George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004, and McCain needs them in order to wrest victory in the all-important Electoral College.

Obama even leads, according to some polls, in North Carolina, a southern state that was considered solidly in the McCain column just last month.
[Read more...]