POLITICS-SOMALIA: Harsh Words For Transitional Government

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 30, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Joyce Mulama

NAIROBI, Oct 30 (IPS) – Horn of Africa leaders attending a regional summit have lashed out at Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government (TFG) for failing to restore peace and order in the war-torn country.

”Failed they have, as can easily be seen in the lack of progress in all areas in government. This is the truth that neither the Transitional Federal Government authorities, nor we, can sweep under the rug,” Meles Zenawi, Ethiopia’s prime minister and IGAD chairman told the Oct. 29 summit.

The TFG was established following years of protracted talks under the auspices of the Inter-Governmental Authority on Trade and Development (IGAD) — a regional body comprising Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and Somalia itself. The transitional government’s overall mandate was to constitute functional transitional federal institutions to stabilise the security situation, review the constitution, conduct a census and hold a democratic election by 2009.

Four years down the line, nothing has been accomplished. In terms of politics, security and humanitarian emergency, the Somalia situation remains disastrous. For much of its existence, the TFG has scarcely dared function within Somalia’s borders.

Frequent militia attacks in Baidoa, where parliament was meant to be sitting, prompted many MPs to seek shelter in Kenya. In 2005, Islamist forces coordinated under the banner of the United Islamic Courts (UIC) established control over much of the country, imposing relative order. The TFG — backed by Ethiopian troops -û captured the capital, Mogadishu, in December 2006, but it is still unable to assert control of the capital or the country’s southern and central regions against Islamists and clan militia.
[Read more...]

RIGHTS-SUDAN: New Trials Could Condemn more to Death

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 30, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Blake Evans-Pritchard

KHARTOUM, Oct 30 (IPS) – The number of people sentenced to death for their alleged role in the rebel attacks on Khartoum last May could rise if the government carries through its plans to set up more special anti-terrorism courts, according to human rights lawyers.

So far, 50 people have been condemned to death for laying siege to the nation’s capital on May 10. The attack was led by one of Darfur’s most prominent rebel groups, the Justice and Equity Movement (JEM).

Twenty more alleged rebels also faced death penalty trials in the next weeks ”if the government is allowed to establish more anti-terrorism courts”, Kamel Jazouri, a lawyer on the defence team, told IPS.

The special courts were set up for these trials for the first time under the country’s Anti-Terrorism Law. This was adopted after the September 11, 2001 attacks on the U.S.
[Read more...]

RIGHTS-COLOMBIA: Extrajudicial Killings Under Scrutiny

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 30, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Constanza Vieira

BOGOTA, Oct 30 (IPS) – The dismissal of 20 officers and seven noncommissioned officers for extrajudicial executions of civilians presented as battlefield casualties ”is a triumph for human rights organisations and for Colombian society as a whole,” said Reynaldo Villalba of the José Alvear Restrepo Lawyers Collective.

Villalba urged the Attorney General’s Office to carry out an in-depth investigation, ”not only of the fired officers but especially of those who were not fired, who remain hidden and are responsible for these policies.”

The three generals, 11 colonels, four majors, one captain, one lieutenant, six sergeants and one corporal who were sacked were posted in the northern departments (provinces) of Santander, Norte de Santander, Arauca and Antioquia.

The second and seventh army divisions both lost their commanders, Generals
José Joaquín Cortés (Santander, Norte de Santander and Arauca) and Roberto Pico (Antioquia).

The third general who was cashiered is Paulino Coronado, commander of the 30th Brigade. The scandal was triggered by the discovery of bodies of missing men in the remote district of Ocaña in Norte de Santander, which is in his jurisdiction.
[Read more...]

RIGHTS: Landmark U.N. Resolution on Equality Stuck on Paper

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 30, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Nergui Manalsuren

UNITED NATIONS, Oct 29 (IPS) – Civil society groups are urging the U.N. to fully implement a U.N. Security Council resolution calling for greater women’s participation in conflict prevention, resolution and peace-building.

On Wednesday, the 15-member Council opened its eighth open debate on ”Women, Peace, and Security” at U.N. headquarters in New York.

”Eight years since the adoption of Security Council resolution 1325, there has been a great deal more talk about the protection and promotion of women’s human rights in conflict-affected situations,” said the coalition of major human rights organisations, including Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International.

”It is necessary now to move from words to action,” said Sarah Taylor, coordinator of the NGO Working Group on Women, Peace, and Security.

Many women’s advocates fear that this year will again see little more than ”lip service” paid toward making 1325 reality.

”I don’t think we feel that the real spirit of 1325 has really got the heart of the Security Council and its efforts. It should be more than an annual anniversary that we celebrate,” said Jessica Neuwirth, the president of Equality Now, a leading group dedicated to promoting women’s rights worldwide.

She expressed disappointment that even though one of the key ideas of the resolution was to bring more women’s voices into the Security Council, the powerful body rarely reaches out to women when debating conflict resolutions.

”There is a once-a-year moment where they pay lip service with this resolution, but that is not what we really would like to see,” Neuwirth told IPS.

”What we’d like to see is, in a very formal way, anytime there is a conflict on the Security Council agenda, they look to women to seek advice and guidance and put them into discussions and elements that promote peace,” she added.

Vivian Stromberg, the executive director of MADRE, an international organisation that has been promoting women’s rights for 25 years, is also not optimistic that Wednesday’s debate will change anything.

However, she believes that the participation of civil society in the discussion on the floor, particularly women’s organisations in this case, is crucially important to raise questions, and to put pressure on those governments which do not comply with their obligations.

”Women’s participation brings to the table everything that affects women. They bring to the table the issues of gender, issues of sexuality, issues of environment, issues of peace and security, issues of war, and economy, the vast number of issues that the whole world is facing now with the level of poverty that we’re seeing now,” Stromberg told IPS.

”I think that women are in the best position to respond to all of those issues, and to relegate women to issues only to which she has a biological relationship is wrong and shortchanges humanity,” she said.

According to the U.N. report on Women, Peace, and Security, there have been gains in the broad areas for action set out in the resolution: awareness of the importance of gender equality, development of national action plans, gender mainstreaming, capacity building and support for greater participation of women in decision-making, including in elections and governance. However, a gap between policies and implementation of the resolution remains, in particular at the national level.

The report says that only 10 member states have developed specific national action plans for implementation of the resolution and five more are in the process of developing such plans.

”We have a long way to go in ensuring women’s equal participation and full involvement in all efforts for the maintenance and promotion of peace and security, particularly in conflict prevention and resolution, equal representation in security institutions and decision-making bodies, as well as ensuring women’s protection from sexual violence and ending impunity,” Rachel Mayanja, the U.N. Special Adviser on Gender Issues and Advancement of Women, told the Security Council.

Regarding sexual violence and impunity, including sexual violence by U.N. peacekeeping forces, the head of MADRE said that the U.N. needs to do what it has promised to do.

”If they have a zero tolerance policy then they are supposed to have zero tolerance… They can’t just talk about it, they have to follow it through, and that means that the home countries need to be held accountable,” Stromberg told IPS.

She expressed her concern that without civil society, there will be a big, empty hole through which governments can slip and hide.

”Since the U.N. as a body doesn’t have the power to bring to justice a peacekeeper from a particular country, it’s that country that has the power to do that and the obligation [of civil society is] to hold their governments accountable,” added Stromberg.

Rachel Mayanja also stressed the importance of civil society groups, noting that they have ”been active in the national implementation process, holding governments accountable and injecting new dynamism into societies.”

However, these NGOs do not enjoy the cooperation of the Security Council on these critical matters, she added.

”We hope that they renew their commitments to implementation of 1325, and we would like it to see as more than an annual event. It should be a daily event. They should bring women in. We would like to see it happen,” Neuwirth told IPS.

SOUTH-EAST ASIA: Financial Meltdown Prompts Return to Agriculture

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Thursday, October 30, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Marwaan Macan-Markar

BANGKOK, Oct 30 (IPS) – As South-east Asia feels the heal of the global financial meltdown leaders are turning to the informal sector, particularly agriculture, as a potential provider of employment.

Malaysian Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi echoed such a sentiment this week, resurrecting a view that had emerged after a financial crisis swept through this region in 1997. The Malaysian agriculture sector will help the country to ‘’cushion the impact of the economic downturn,” he said during an encounter with farmers, according to local press reports.

The agriculture sector accounts for about 60 percent of South-east Asia’s informal sector, which is estimated to have 161 million workers, states a new study on labour trends released by the International Labour Organisation (ILO).

‘’Agriculture still accounts for 44.5 percent of (the region’s) total employment, albeit with considerable variations across countries, ranging from less than one percent in Singapore to over 80 percent in Laos,” the ILO study said.

The past decade has also seen South-east Asian cities, which have expanded due to rapid urbanisation and migration from rural areas, taking on a greater role as a venue for the informal labour pool, adds the ILO. Food vendors along the streets are typical of this trend. A majority of them are women, giving ‘’vulnerable” work a ‘’feminine face”.

The number of workers in the informal sector are set to increase as jobs in the region’s formal economic sector, ranging from industries to services, become limited, says Gyorgy Sziraczki, senior economist at the ILO’s Asia-Pacific regional office in Bangkok. ‘’Employers will either delay hiring or freeze new recruitment and the wage growth will slow down, with pay increases lesser than in past years.”

‘’There will be 850,000 fewer jobs created in 2008 than in 2007. And by 2009, that number could go up to 1.27 million fewer jobs in the region,” he revealed in an interview. ‘’The number of unemployed in the region may rise to 18.5 million in 2009 as against the 16.5 million unemployed people in 2007.”

Such dismal estimates are a contrast to the robust economic growth the region experienced till the onset of the spike in oil and food prices early this year and soaring inflation in some countries in the 10-member regional bloc, the Association of South-east Asian Nations (ASEAN). The region’s growth of 6.4 percent in 2007, up from six percent the previous year, ‘’was the highest in over a decade,” states the ILO in its ‘Labour and Social Trends in ASEAN 2008′.

‘’The region’s strong economic performance in 2007 had a positive impact on its labour markets,” adds the 116-page report. ‘’Employment in ASEAN member countries increased from 260.6 million in 2006 to 268.5 million in 2007 — an increase of three percent, or 7.9 million additional jobs.”

The impact from the financial crash will be felt in the export sector in countries like the Philippines, which depends on the Japanese and U.S. markets.

This week, Thailand’s labour ministry revealed that 120 companies had shut down from January till October in industries dealing in food, garments and furniture.

Burma’s garment sector, which exports to Japan and the European Union, may also experience factory closures and workers being laid off, according to the military-ruled country’s garment manufacturers association.

But unlike a decade ago, governments appear more prepared to deal with layoffs and lack of work in the formal economy, says Raj Kumar, at the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), a regional U.N. body based in Bangkok. ‘’The 1997 financial crisis caught governments by surprise and there was little preparation to help people affected by the economies that went into negative growth.”

‘’They have learnt some of the lessons since then and are already talking about it,” he told IPS. ‘’The current talk about the role the agriculture sector will have to play to absorb people from the formal economy was never discussed before the ’97 crash.”

Yet such expectations for the informal sector — particularly agriculture — to help people from cities to return back to their homes in rural areas and serve as a safety net are not limitless. More so since the rural heartland of many South-east Asian countries have been ignored in the past 10 years, with limited amounts of investment pouring in from national budgets to improve infrastructure and agriculture outputs.

‘’There has been a serious neglect of the agriculture sector in the past decade. The investments have gone down,” says Diderik de Vleeschauwer, spokesman for the Food and Agriculture Organisation’s (FAO) Asia-Pacific office. ‘’Those areas are not what they used to be in ‘97.”

The land area available for agriculture has also decreased, he told IPS. ‘’This is because of new land-use patterns, land being sold for non-agriculture purposes such as hotels and golf courses and the drastic impact of climate change.”

In fact in the Philippines, a country expected to face the brunt of the economic downturn, there is little hope for people who migrated to the cities from the provinces in search of work to go back home.

‘’The agriculture sector in the Philippines is at a very low point because the government’s investment in agriculture is not a priority,” says Jillian Roque, research and advocacy officer at Public Services Labour Independent Confederation, a Manila-based national union of government workers.

‘’The only option available for the Filipinos, who end up in the informal sector is to search for jobs abroad,” she said in a telephone interview about a country that already has 10 percent of its population as overseas migrant workers. ‘’There will be an increase in people wanting to leave the country even if there is a threat of abuse and exploitation. The crisis is creating a sense of desperation.”

FINANCE: NGOs Call for Radical Reforms as IMF Offers New Loans

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Jim Lobe

WASHINGTON, Oct 29 (IPS) – Two weeks before U.S. President George W. Bush hosts an economic summit to address the six-week-old financial crisis that has wreaked havoc on the world’s capital and stock markets, a coalition of nearly 600 non-governmental organisations (NGOs) from 88 countries is calling for a ”fundamental and far-reaching transformation on the international financial and economic system.”

In a statement released Wednesday, the groups demanded that the upcoming Group of 20 meeting Nov. 15 here to the way for a much broader and more inclusive reform effort in which all of the world’s governments and international civil society should participate.

”It is of course imperative to agree on immediate measures to address the crisis, and we emphasise that priority must be given to responses to the impacts on ordinary employees and workers, low-income households, pensioners and other extremely vulnerable sectors,” according to the statement that was signed by Friends of the Earth, ActionAid, and Social Watch, among other international groups.

”But we are deeply concerned that the proposed meetings will be carried out in a rushed and non-inclusive manner, and, as a result, not address the comprehensive range of changes needed, nor fairly allocate their burden,” it said.

The groups, which also included Civicus, the European Network on Debt and Development (EURODAD), and Jubilee, decried what they called a ”double standard” by which wealthy western governments, in dealing with the crisis, were currently engaged in the kind of government intervention that western-dominated institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had forbidden their poor-country borrowers.

”The double standard is not only unacceptable, but it also signals the demise of free-market fundamentalism,” the statement said. ”The international financial system, its architecture and its institutions must be completely rethought.”

The statement comes on the eve of the first meeting of a U.N. task force set up by Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon and chaired by Economics Nobel Laureate and former World Bank Chief Economist Joseph Stiglitz to make recommendations about how to cope with the ongoing crisis.

It also comes as the IMF announced the creation of the a new lending arm, the Short-Term Liquidity Facility (SLF), that will have the authority to lend up to five times a borrowing country’s quota to help it overcome temporary liquidity problems in global capital markets.

”Exceptional times call for an exceptional response,” said the IMF’s managing director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn. ”The Fund is responding quickly and flexibly to requests for financing. We are offering some countries substantial resources on an expedited basis, with conditions based only on measures absolutely necessary to get past the crisis and to restore a viable external position.”

Creation of the SLF, which is similar to the Contingent Credit Line facility created by the IMF during the Asian crisis of 1997-98, has been considered urgent over the last couple of weeks as it became clear that the credit crisis that began with the collapse of Lehman Brothers investment firm last month was rapidly spreading to emerging markets and poor countries whose economies are dependent on commodity exports.

Still, critics have warned that, given the growing line of countries, starting with Iceland, Ukraine, and Hungary and Pakistan, in desperate need of the estimated 250 billion dollars the IMF has available, the SLF may not be sufficient to keep up with demand.

Thus, Strauss-Kahn made a point of welcoming Wednesday’s announcement by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the central banks of Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, and Singapore to set up swap lines of up to 30 billion dollars to boost liquidity in emerging markets. Similar lines have already been set up between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank and with the central banks of the Australia and New Zealand.

The Nov. 15 G-20 summit at the National Building Museum will include the leaders of the major industrialised countries and emerging markets, such as China, India, Brazil, and Mexico. It has been billed by some European leaders, notably British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, as a ”new Bretton Woods”, a reference to the New Hampshire resort where in 1944 U.S. and British finance officials laid the groundwork for the post-World War II western-dominated economic order overseen by the IMF and the World Bank.

Bush, who will be a lame duck when the summit convenes, is expected to oppose any moves that could result in big changes in the way those two agencies are run, particularly given the disproportionate voting power Washington — including the ability to veto any major policy changes — enjoys on their governing boards. The Europeans, who also exercise disproportionate power on the boards, appear to be more favourably inclined toward reform.

”There is no doubt that these institutions need reform when Belgium has the same amount of votes as China,” noted Louis Belanger of Oxfam International.

It has been through the combined voting power of the U.S. and other western industrialised powers that the Bank and the IMF have imposed the so-called ”Washington Consensus” — policies that require borrowing countries to implement neo-liberal, ”market-friendly” policies and reduce the role of government in their economies — over the last 30 years.

Grassroots and many international NGOs have long claimed that these policies have mainly benefited western-based multi-national corporations, often to the detriment of the poorest and most vulnerable populations in borrowing countries whose governments were forced to cut their budgets and adopt austerity measures recommended by the Bank and the IMF.

To them, the response to current crisis in both North America and Europe demonstrates the bankruptcy of both the ”Washington Consensus” and the agencies that enforced it.

”To stave off regional and global recessions and restore stability and confidence in the market, northern governments are pursuing a massive and unprecedented program of government intervention, nationalising banks, injecting massive subsidies into ailing institutions and re-regulating their financial sectors,” they said.

These measures stand ”in direct contrast to the austere neo-liberal policies pressed on developing countries by the World Bank, the IMF, and developed countries for the past thirty years.”

”These policies have failed spectacularly,” said Vitalis Meja, coordinator for the African Forum & Network on Debt and Development (Afrodad). ”And now, the response is to bring 20 governments to Washington for a new ‘Washington Consensus’.”

Writing in the Financial Times Wednesday, financier and philanthropist George Soros noted that, ”The so-called Washington consensus imposed strict market discipline on other countries but the U.S. was exempt from it.”

In the NGOs’ view, any attempted reform of the current system should best be pursued under auspices of the United Nations where each country has a vote.

”Since the impacts are likely to be the greatest on the poorest people, and in emerging economies and developing countries,” noted Lidy Nacpil of Jubilee South — Asia/Pacific Movement on Debt and Development, ”shouldn’t all countries — governments and peoples — have a say, not just those responsible for this crisis?”

”Any attempt by the most powerful countries to stitch up a deal with no public consultation and no involvement of the majority of the world’s countries through an inclusive process will only further undermine public trust and confidence,” added Roberto Bissio of Social Watch.

MEXICO: Oil Reforms Leave State in the Red

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Diego Cevallos

MEXICO CITY, Oct 29 (IPS) – The oil industry reforms approved by the Mexican Congress and applauded by the government and most of the country’s parties, with the exception of factions on the left and part of the business community, will deprive the state of a source of funding that currently finances 40 percent of the public budget.

”Good for the oil industry, which will now have more funds, but the lack of an alternative source of financing for the state is very worrisome,” Roberto Gutiérrez, an expert on energy issues at the Autonomous Metropolitan University (UAM), told IPS.

From 2009 to 2016, the flow of funds from the state oil monopoly PEMEX to the state coffers will gradually be reduced, according to the reforms approved Tuesday by the lower house of Congress after six months of heated debate. (They passed the Senate last week).

The hope is that by increasing the proportion of revenues left in the hands of the oil company, Pemex will improve its performance, which has been undermined by a lack of funds and up-to-date technology, while output has steadily fallen and reserves have shrunk (according to official figures they will last less than nine years).
[Read more...]

US PREDATOR STRIKES IN FATA STEPPED UP

Global Geopolitics Net Sites – Global Intel Net
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Copyright © B. Raman – South Asia Analysis Group
www.southasiaanalysis.org

INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM MONITOR–PAPER NO.462

B.RAMAN

“The reported US assurances to respect Pakistani sovereignty in its territory did not apply to air strikes, which could continue as before. In fact, the Pakistan Army itself had agreed to these air strikes when Musharraf was the President and the COAS. Kayani was a party to that decision and he could not now object to such air strikes unless the Army wanted the permission for air strikes accorded by Musharraf to be withdrawn. However, Musharraf had consistently refused to agree to unilateral ground strikes by the US special forces. The present Government cannot give the impression that it had gone even further than Musharraf in its co-operation with the US forces in their operations against Al Qaeda and the Taliban .”—- from my article of September 20,2008, titled “US STRIKES IN FATA: Change In Continuity” at http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/papers29/paper2851.html

——————————————————–

The “New York Times” reported on its web site on October 26,2008, as follows: The United States is refraining from using its special forces on the Pakistani territory following a raid nearly two months ago that resulted in civilian casualties and vehement protests from Islamabad. Following the attack, National Security Adviser Mahmud Ali Durrani made an unannounced visit to Washington and expressed his country’s anger in person to top White House officials, including National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley.But while the ground raids have stopped, attacks by remotely-piloted Predator aircraft, which are operated by the Central Intelligence Agency, have increased sharply in the past three months.There were at least 18 Predator strikes since the beginning of August, some deep inside the tribal areas, as compared with the five strikes during the first seven months of 2008.
[Read more...]

LTTE AIR WING STRIKES AGAIN

INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM MONITOR–PAPER NO.463

Global Intel Net – Global Geopolitics Net Sites
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Copyright © B. Raman – South Asia Analysis Group
www.southasiaanalysis.org

B.RAMAN

The air wing of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) carried out two attacks within an interval of about 90 minutes on a military target in the North and an economic target in Colombo on the night of October 28,2008. This is the seventh operation by the LTTE’s air wing since it went into action in March last year.
[Read more...]

POLITICS: U.S. Cutoff Threat Unlikely to Save Iraq Troop Pact

Global Geopolitics Net Sites / IPS
Wednesday, October 29, 2008

All rights reserved, IPS – Inter Press Service, 2008.

Analysis by Gareth Porter*

WASHINGTON, Oct 29 (IPS) – The threat by the George W. Bush administration last week to withdraw all economic and military support from the Iraqi government if it does not accept the U.S.-Iraq status of forces agreement has raised the stakes in the political-diplomatic struggle over the issue.

However, most Iraqi politicians are now so averse to any formal legitimisation of the U.S. military presence — and particularly of extraterritorial legal rights over U.S. troops in the country — that even that threat is unlikely to save the pact.

For most Iraqis the agreement is all too reminiscent of the unequal security agreement that gave military rights to British imperialism in Iraq from 1930 to 1958. The symbolism of foreign domination inherent in that historical parallel makes it risky for political party leaders and members of parliament to be seen as going along with any agreement that provides special privileges to the United States.

In a move reflecting a new sense of desperation that has overtaken U.S. officials, Gen. Ray Odierno, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, warned Iraqi officials that they would lose a total of 16 billion dollars in assistance for the economy and Iraqi security forces unless the agreement is approved by parliament, according to a story by McClatchy newspapers reporter Leil Fadel Sunday.
[Read more...]